Stewart, Linares, Hatfield, Greenberg Lead GOP Primary Field
8/6/18
Contact Tremont Public Advisors 860-986-7737
In the first publicly released head to head polling in the 2018 Republican Primary race for Lieutenant Governor, Treasurer, Attorney General and Comptroller, New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart (R), State Senator Art Linares (R), Assistant State’s Attorney Sue Hatfield (R) and Businessman Mark Greenberg (R) are leading their respective races in the sprint to the August 14th primary election day.
In a series of four on-line surveys conducted between 7/30-8/2/18 of 801-1,122 self-identified Connecticut Republicans, Tremont Public Advisors tested the likely outcome of the primary contests for: Lieutenant Governor between Erin Stewart, Joe Markley and Jayme Stevenson; Attorney General, between Sue Hatfield and John Shaban; the contest for Treasurer, between Art Linares and Thad Gray; and Comptroller between Mark Greenberg and Kurt Miller.
This is what we found:
· In the Lieutenant Governor’s race, Stewart has a solid lead over endorsed candidate Senator Joe Markley, who leads Jayme Stevenson.
· Sue Hatfield, the endorsed Republican, has a wide lead over challenger John Shaban in the primary for Attorney General.
· In the contest for Treasurer, Art Linares is leading the endorsed candidate Thad Gray.
· Businessman Mark Greenberg has a solid lead over Kurt Miller in the race for Comptroller
“With only a week to go before the Republican Primary election, it looks like front runners in each of the Republican under ticket races have emerged. Interestingly, only one of the Republican candidates endorsed at the Convention, Sue Hatfield, is leading her race. For a variety of reasons specific to their candidacies, the challengers are making a strong showing.” Stated Matthew Hennessy, Managing Director of Tremont Public Advisors.
“Erin Stewart, came into her race off a potential run for Governor with name recognition and a profile as a young urban Mayor that is attractive to many voters. Linares was quick to jump on an issue that excites a sizeable portion of the Republican base concerning a town official kneeling during the Pledge of Allegiance. Greenberg is benefitting from his profile as a businessman and higher name recognition than his opponent.” stated Hennessy.
Survey Results
(Respondents who self-identified as registered Republican voters in Connecticut)
Q. 1(A) If the Republican Primary Election for Connecticut Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote? (1,122 responses)
Erin E. Stewart 42%
Joe Markley 31%
Jayme Stevenson 21%
Don’t Know/Other 6%
Q. 1(B) If the Republican Primary Election for Connecticut Treasurer were held today, for whom would you vote? (836 responses)
Art Linares 53%
Thad Gray 46%
Don’t Know/Other 1%
Q. 1(C) If the Republican Primary Election for Connecticut Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote? (817 responses)
Sue Hatfield 59%
John Shaban 39%
Don’t Know/Other 2%
Q. 1(D) If the Republican Primary Election for Connecticut Comptroller were held today, for whom would you vote? (801 responses)
Mark Greenberg 55%
Kurt Miller 45%
Don’t Know/Other 1%
*Rounding may produce results +/- 100%
About Tremont Public Advisors, LLC: Tremont Public Advisors is a leading Public Affairs and Federal Lobbying firm in Washington D.C. and Hartford, Connecticut.
Methodology
Between 7/30/18 and 8/2/18 Tremont Public Advisors conducted four concurrent surveys of 801-1,122 self- identified, Connecticut registered Republican voters using an on-line survey platform. Respondents were allowed to take the survey only once and were restricted from choosing more than one answer. The answer choices for candidates were shown in a random order. The poll population consisted of Connecticut internet users viewing content on a network of web publisher sites on both mobile and desktop devices. The survey answers have a MMOE of no more than +/- 3%.
Gender, age and location of the survey respondents were inferred by data correlated to the I.P. address of the respondent. The survey used statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted based on U.S. Census data using a procedure to match the demographic makeup of the target population of Connecticut internet users by gender, age and geography.
The pool was designed and administered by Tremont Public Advisors LLC and paid for by Cooper Communications, LLC.